The Canadian Relationship with China

Jan 30
Micron Insight Series

The Canadian Relationship with China

The Chinese are Canada’s second-largest trading partner at approximately $80 billion.

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The Canadian Relationship with China

Welcome back to TAXING TARIFFS! In this post we’ll look at the Canadian trade relationship with China.

Over the frigid weekend of January 21st as a polar arctic blast pressed down upon the United States, the U.S. relationship with Canada went into a deep freeze. Donald Trump once again threatened tariff retaliations if Canadian Prime Minister Mike Carney’s government “ … makes a deal with China.” One hundred percent tariffs was the particular level given as a potential penalty for the unspecified relationship. While the Chinese are trying to warm up to the Canadians, the U.S. is doing its best to give them the cold shoulder.

Taking a closer look at the Canadian and Chinese relationship one sees that the Chinese are Canada’s second-largest trading partner. Some perspective here is do. Counting annual trade in both directions between two countries, China amounts to approximately $80 billion. Canada’s largest trading partner is the U.S. which accounts for about $1 trillion. Canada’s trade with the U.S. is an order of magnitude bigger in dollar value than its trade with China. Nonetheless, there is a trade deal afoot between Canada and China.

According to CBC News (a division of the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation) the Canadian government has agreed to allow 49,000 Chinese electric vehicles into the market at a tariff rate of 6.1%.

Earlier in the month of January, Prime Minister Mark Carney and his delegation met with Chinese President Xi Jinping and his delegation in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China. According to CBC News (a division of the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation) the Canadian government has agreed to allow 49,000 Chinese electric vehicles into the market at a tariff rate of 6.1%. That would be a reversion to the rate that was in place before the Ottawa government placed a 100% tariff on all Chinese EVs in 2024. China, in return, is expected to lower tariffs on Canadian canola to 15% by March. In addition, Beijing has promised to remove tariffs on Canadian canola meal, lobsters, crab, and peas as of March until at least the end of 2026. There was also talk of progress on issues around Canadian pork exports. A deal has been struck between China and Canada.

This deal was born on the bed of the tit for tat tariff slap match that took place a year ago. Then-prime minister Justin Trudeau placed a 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles starting in the summer of 2024. China responded by launching an anti-dumping investigation of their Canadian canola imports. In March of 2025, Beijing placed a 100% tariff on Canadian canola oil, canola meal, and peas. To this they added a 25% tariff on pork and various seafood products. Not to leave any canola product unaffected, in August China slapped a 76% tariff on Canadian canola seed. This is what Mark Carney inherited in March 2025.

Because of the almost lockstep move in implementing 100% tariffs by both the U.S. and Canada, there was, and is, concern over the continental agreement between Mexico, the U.S. and Canada. This agreement, which by the way, the U.S. calls USMCA (United States – Mexico -Canada Agreement) and Canada calls CUSMA (Canada – U.S. – Mexico Agreement) allows for trade with low or no tariffs between the three countries. In mid January Trump acknowledged his approval for a Canadian deal with China, even going so far as to say “If you can get a deal with China, you should do that.” However, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer had a different take on the deal. Relating to CNBC that he thought Canada would regret making such a deal, saying “I think it’s problematic for Canada.” From current events it would seem that the U.S. Trade Representative has caught the ear of the President.

According to the Trade Data Online of the Government of Canada available at the ised-isde.canada.ca website China’s total trade with Canada in 2024 was $86.8 billion in current U.S. dollars. Chinese imports to Canada exceeded Canadian exports to China by $43 billion. With all other trading partners, it had a positive trade balance of $53 billion. Also in 2024, Canadians imported $1.56 billion of Chinese motor vehicles (which includes electric motor vehicles) under NAICS code 336110 – automobile and light duty motor vehicle manufacturing. $51.6 billion of the same was imported from all other countries. 32 times more vehicles were imported to Canada from the rest of the world than from China. And yet, China is Canada’s second largest trading partner overall.

China has struck a group of tariff deals with Canada. Now Trump wants to slap tariffs on Canada for playing nice with China. Or perhaps more particularly, for allowing 49,000 relatively inexpensive Chinese electric vehicles into North America.

What do you think about the tit for tat tariff exchanges between trading partners? Is it good or bad for North America if Canada allows 49,000 Chinese EVs imports? Is it appropriate for a President to use tariffs to punish a neighbor, an ally, and trading partner for making a deal? Once you’ve sent your answers to taxingtariffs@microncorp.com we’ll see you next time on TAXING TARIFFS.

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Deal Between the US – Taiwan and Greenland at the Forefront

Jan 22

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Of the utmost importance towards our globally shared commitment to electronics manufacturing, Taiwan and the United States came to an agreement on a $250B deal. This, in addition to a reciprocal tax that will maintain tariffs to approximately 15%, rather than 40%, or more, for now. The two nations under their democratic leaderships have come to this agreement. And that may be a very good thing. If both these nations have come to this position because of economic forces, rather than militaristic positioning, all the better.

Specific levels of tariffs are important for sure. And yet, the numbers being bandied about are more political positioning than proper assessments of the actual levels of taxes being levied. For evidence of this we need look no further than the United States International Trade Commission publication of the “Harmonized Tariff Schedule of the United States (2025) Revision 32” in December under Publication Number: 5690.

Greenland is now at the forefront. Because of it’s strategic location in the Arctic Ocean it is in the sights of the current U.S. administration. Positioned at the center of the northern geographic locations of Russia, Europe, Canada, and the U.S. state of Alaska it certainly has tremendous geopolitical value. It also has “immense” stores of so called rare earth elements. The current president has called for the acquisition of Greenland. In doing so, he has joined the ranks of President Truman and other politicians from the late 1800s (when the U.S. acquired Alaska) that have discussed such a matter. The Kingdom of Denmark has never appreciated such notions.

And, perhaps, we are all becoming patriots now; each from their own nation. Let’s add the current national targets of recent US tariff policies to our list of trade partners. These are Denmark (which owns Greenland), Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Finland, and the United Kingdom. All of which may be facing an increase of 10% tariffs for opposition to such an acquisition. Once again, what that 10% actually represents is not yet specific, ad valorem, or even perhaps subject to de minimis rules.

At the World Economic Forum in Davos the American President not only stated his intention to acquire what he often calls “Iceland” he went so far as to suggest he might use military force. In response, small numbers of troops from other countries have been deployed to Greenland. Fifteen French mountain infantry soldiers, some number of Swedish troops, and a 13-person German Army reconnaissance team were being mobilized to show America capturing Greenland would be opposed. Small numbers of forces indeed. Yet the point was made. And by the end of the forum in Davos enough pushback had been delivered that the American president backed off. What else happened during the 72-minute presentation was either astounding, surreal, or just plain upsetting depending on your perspective. After having been emboldened by tariff “negotiation” victories, and the wresting of a dictator named Maduro from the country of Venezuela, the current president seemed emboldened enough to confront, insult, and just plain “piss off” everyone even his own administration.

Back in North America there has been an “Unexpected Winner,” according to the WSJ. Mexico, which according to some economists may have had been set up for difficult economic situations because of the tariffs has actually increased its exports to the U.S. Auto-industry exports took a hit, that’s for sure, but all other exports of manufacturing goods surged 17%. That includes steel and aluminum. All that good news even with the imposition of 25% tariffs in 2025. Trade in goods (not necessarily services) between the U.S. and Mexico reached approximately 900$B in 2025. The president had taken to holding up placards listing new tariff rates for so many countries, but not for Mexico. With that positive development, Mexican companies apparently experienced a great increase in restarting manufacturing projects. Today, almost 85% of Mexico’s total exports remain tariff-free under the USMCA.

That 85% tariff-free number belies the fact that political negotiations and statements about tariffs certainly don’t tell the whole story. Remember there is a Harmonized Tariff Schedule with so many details in it that one should be wary of summing up tariffs for any one country with a single number.

Do you view Taiwan’s deal as positive? What do you think about Greenland? Should America try to wrest control of the largest island in the world? And are you happy that Mexico is exporting more? After you answer these questions at INFO@MICRONCORP.COM we’ll see you next time on TAXING TARIFFS.

Two types of tariffs: Ad Valorem or Specific

Jan 05

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In the last post we listed the eight largest trade partners for the U.S. and briefly described how the elimination of the de minimis rule had a significant effect on the goods trade of one of those eight trade partners, namely China. Now we turn our attention to two types of tariffs, prevalent since this country’s beginnings.

Tariffs can be ad valorem or specific. Ad valorem tariffs are the most widely used today (in terms of the number of instances of such in the Harmonized Tariff Schedule of the United States) and are calculated according to the value of each good based on a percentage. Specific tariffs are fixed based on weight, volume, or number of items of the good. These two duty value specifications are different, and much of the harm either wrought or perceived by the Smoot-Hawley tariff is due to their difference. One is based on a percentage of value (ad valorem) and the other is based on units of weight (specific). Let’s take a closer look at how ad valorem tariffs are being used in relation to each of the eight trade partners.

At the end of the Northern Hemisphere’s summer in 2025, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and United States President Donald Trump shook hands in a show of agreement for 15% taxation on most EU exports to the US. This baseline tariff would apply to several of Europe’s crucial sectors including automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors. Polysyllabic imports – indeed; and perhaps, of more trade import than import of speech. This deal surpassed the 10% tariffs imposed by the American president in April of 2025. Yet, 15% is still lower than the US president’s threat of 30% tariffs. As part of this trade agreement the EU promised to buy $750B of American energy products over three years and invest $600B in the US. In this way, Trump established a dominant position in many of the succeeding trade negotiations, one-sided, bilateral, or otherwise.

Perhaps surprisingly, the second largest trade partner of the US is Mexico. In March of 2025, 25% tariffs were set as a baseline for Mexican imports, with the generous exclusion of products that fall under a 2020 trade agreement known as USMCA. The United States Mexico Canada Agreement has been important to trade in North America since its inception: And in some form they will be in the future. There is much to be said, and will be, about trade relations between democratic North American countries with porous borders.

Canada – Oh Canada! In October of this year, our great neighbor to the North had a 35% baseline tariff set on it with a threat of 45% looming. Tariffs in March were at 25% with exclusions under USMC. Political influence and negotiation are very much in play these days between Canada and us.

In the Olympics, gold medals are given for first place, silver for second place, and bronze for third. If China has its way, then maybe their fourth place finish in US trade partnerships will be forged and forwarded with the use of rare earth elements. China holds a special place in US trade negotiations; even if it were only for its mining, refining, and utilization capabilities of the elements just mentioned. But it is not just that. China has become more than a formidable opponent in tariff negotiations. Its economic threats to the US are more than matched by its military capabilities. In 2012 Xi Jinping became General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party. He became President of The People’s Republic of China in 2013: The Belt and Road Initiative was launched by Xi Jinping at the Two Sessions Meetings that same year. Tariffs as high as 145% had been threatened – then rescinded – by Trump in negotiations since his re-election. Xi then brought rare earth elements into play during the negotiations. Trump backed down though claimed some victory in tariff reductions from 20% to 10% due to mostly unspecified concessions over the deadly and often-abused drug fentanyl. When it comes to tariffs, Trump seems to have met a challenger to his dominant tariff position in the form of a Chinese leader named Xi.

Japan also maintains a special place in the US trade partner relationship hierarchy. Economically speaking, Japan surrendered its position in relation to China four or more decades ago. Threatened with 25% tariffs during negotiations in July, the baseline settled at 15% for most goods including cars and auto parts. Concessions to the tune of $550B were also mentioned.

South Korea duties were set at 10% in April. This was then upped to 15% after an accord much like the EU and Japan did. Concessions for $200B in cash “installments” and $150B in shipbuilding “cooperation” were given according to an article in the Wall Street Journal that was updated on Oct. 30, 2025.

Taiwan holds a dominant position in the semiconductor manufacturing sector, which is huge! It also is just some 80 miles across the Taiwan Strait from one of its neighbors which is a very initiative-taking militarily motivated presence also known as China.

At the end of our list of eight US trade partners is Vietnam, and it is highly significant despite its position in the list. Vietnam faces a 20% tariff: up from 10% in April, and below the 46% threatened. More significant than the baseline adjustments and negotiating threats is the importance of transshipments of goods that often pass through Vietnam – especially from China. Those shipments may have a higher 40% tariff applied.

What do you think about tariffs imposed on imports from trade partners? What then should we do for consumers in tariff terms? Should we raise them or lower them? Let us know at INFO@MICRONCORP.COM. After that, we will see you next time on TAXING TARIFFS.

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